Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Preview
The Miami Heat (-539) are 10.5-point favorites over the Washington Wizards (+399) in this Southeast Division matchup. The over/under line for the game is 229 points.
Miami comes into the game with a 35-28 record, which is good for 6th in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are currently on a two-game losing streak. Washington is 10-53 on the season and is 14th in the Eastern Conference.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Washington Wizards odds
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last five head to head matchups, the Heat have had the upper-hand, going 4-1. When looking at the last three head-to-head matchups between the Wizards and Heat, only 3 point per game has separated the teams, with the Wizards going 2-0-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous road games, Washington has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 117 points per game.
- Across their last three home contests, Miami has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 101 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
- Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction
Washington’s games have averaged a combined 238.7 points per game this season, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 229. Overall, the Wizards have a record of 31-32-0 on the O/U.
In their last game against the Hornets, the teams combined for just 212 points, which was well below the O/U line of 225.5. Washington won the game by a score of 112-100 and covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites.
This season, the Wizards have been the underdog in 59 of their 63 games. As the underdog, they are 9-50 straight-up and 28-30 against the spread. As the underdog, they have lost three straight ATS on the road.
Against Eastern Conference teams, the Wizards are 7-33 compared to 3-20 against non-conference opponents. This puts them in 14th place in the East. On the road, Washington is 6-27 while going 4-26 at home.
Heading into their matchup against the Heat, the Wizards are the top team in the league in pace at 102.7 possessions per game. In terms of scoring, Washington is 16th in the NBA, averaging 114.5 points per game. On the road, they have been slightly better, averaging 115.3 points per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Wizards are 29th in the league at 34%. Overall, they are 17th in field goal percentage. In terms of assists, Washington is 9th in the NBA at 28.1 per game.
So far this season, the Wizards have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.4% of their games. In terms of free throws, they are 25th in the league in both attempts and makes.
Coming into today’s game, the Wizards’ defense is giving up an average of 124.2 points per contest. The Washington defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 50.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Washington.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 24-39, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s line of 229 is higher than the average O/U line of 222.6 in their games this season.
In the Eastern Conference, Miami is currently 6th with a record of 35-28. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.
At home, the Heat have an ATS record of 12-18 and have covered the spread in their last two games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 15-17 this season.
Miami’s last game was a 107-100 loss to the Thunder. The Heat covered the spread as 8.5-point underdogs. The O/U line for that game was 226.5.
On average, Miami’s games have finished with 220.5 points this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 229.
This season, the Heat have been one of the better three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 6th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. However, they have struggled to score inside, ranking just 27th in two-point shooting percentage.
When it comes to scoring, Miami is averaging 110.5 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. At home, they have been slightly better, averaging 113.7 points per game.
Overall, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 34.9% of their games this season. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.
Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 23.8% of their games. Currently, they are 6th in the NBA at 109.9 points per game allowed. Opponents are hitting 55.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.
The Heat enter this game as 10.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 113-109.
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Wizards (+10.5)
- Our NBA model projects 222 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kevin Love – Heel – Out
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
Washington Wizards Injury Report
- Marvin Bagley III – Back – Out
- Landry Shamet – Calf – Questionable
- Isaiah Livers – Hip – Out
