Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
The Dallas Mavericks (-277) are favored by 7 points over the Detroit Pistons (+223) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 234.5 and tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET at Little Caesars Arena. This game will be televised on BSDE.
Dallas is currently 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 35-28, while Detroit is 14th in the East at 10-52.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Pistons – Dallas Mavericks odds
Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Mavericks have faced off vs. the Pistons as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In addition to going 2-1 vs. the spread in the last three head-to-head games vs. the Mavericks, the Pistons are 2-1 ATS the last three times they have hosted the Mavericks.
- Dallas has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 119 points per game while allowing 125. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- In their last three home games, Detroit has averaged 102 points per game while allowing 108. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
- Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Dallas has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.
Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
In their last game against the Heat, the Mavericks won by a score of 114-108. The O/U line for that game was 230 points, and they covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites.
This season, Dallas has an O/U record of 32-31, and their games have averaged a combined 236.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 234.5.
On the road, the Mavericks are 18-11 against the spread, compared to 15-19 at home. Overall, they have an ATS record of 33-30, and they are 22-15 ATS as the favorite.
After defeating the Heat, the Mavericks are 35-28 on the season, which puts them in 8th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 21-18 and 8-5 against teams in their division.
On average, the Mavericks have outscored their opponents by +5.3 points per game when they are favored. As the favorite, they have a record of 26-11 and are favored by 7 points today.
In non-conference games, the Mavericks have gone 14-10 compared to 21-18 against the Western Conference.
When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 118.7 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA. However, their scoring numbers drop slightly on the road, where they are averaging 116.9 points per game.
One area where the Mavericks have excelled this season is three-point shooting. They are 3rd in the league in three-pointers made per game, averaging 15 made threes per contest. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.
Despite being one of the top three-point shooting teams, the Mavericks are just 24th in offensive rebounds per game. In terms of assists, they are 22nd in the league with an average of 25.3 assists per game.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 118.1 points per game (24th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.9 per game, which is 6th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 23rd in blocked shots at 4.6 per game.
In their last game, the Pistons defeated the Nets by a score of 118-112. This improved their overall record to 10-52, which is 14th in the Eastern Conference.
Detroit has an ATS record of 31-30 this season, including going 2-0 against the spread in their last two games. Today, they are 7-point underdogs vs. the Mavericks.
This season, the Pistons have an average scoring differential of -7.7 points per game at home. On the road, they are being outscored by an average of -9.6 points per game.
The O/U record for Detroit this season is 33-28-1, and their games have averaged a combined 233 points. The average O/U line in their games is 230.2.
In the Eastern Conference, the Pistons are 7-31 in conference play and 3-21 against non-conference opponents.
This season, the Pistons have been a below-average scoring team, ranking 23rd in the NBA in points per game at 112.2. At home, they have averaged 111.6 points per game compared to 112.7 on the road.
When it comes to their three-point shooting, Detroit is 29th in the league in made threes per game at 11.3. Overall, they are shooting 35% from beyond the arc.
So far, the Pistons have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 29% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 10th in the league at 100 possessions per game.
At present, the Pistons’ defense is ranked 27th, allowing 120.8 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Pistons squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.9% from downtown.
Our prediction for this game is that the Mavericks will come out on top with a projected score of 118-109.
Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- The Mavericks should also cover at -7
- Our NBA model projects 227 points, and we suggest taking the under
Detroit Pistons Injury Report
- Quentin Grimes – Knee – Doubtful
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Luka Doncic – Elbow – Questionable
- Dereck Lively II – Personal – Out
