Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-349) will host the Miami Heat (+277) in a non-conference matchup. The Thunder are favored by 8.5 points and have a record of 43-19, which is good for 2nd in the Western Conference. The Heat (35-27) are 6th in the East and will be looking to pull off the upset.
This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on KSBI. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 223.5 points.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Miami Heat odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Thunder have faced off vs. the Heat as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Heat and Thunder, the teams have averaged 229 points per game with an over/under record of 2-1. The last three times they have faced off with the Thunder as the home team, the OU record is 3-0.
- Miami has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 103 points per game while allowing 104. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Heat have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
- In their last three contests as the favorite, Oklahoma City has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction
In Miami’s last game, they lost to the Mavericks by a score of 114-108. The O/U line for that game was 230 points, and the Heat were 4.5-point underdogs going into the game.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 24-38, and their games have averaged 220.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5.
Against the spread, the Heat are 29-30 for the season, and they have failed to cover in their last three games. On the road, they are 17-12 ATS compared to 12-18 ATS at home.
Miami’s overall record this season is 35-27, which has them in 6th place in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 23-16 and 11-2 against their division.
As underdogs this season, the Heat are 10-17 straight-up and 14-13 against the spread. On the road, they are 18-14 straight-up and 17-12 ATS. At home, they are 17-13 and 12-18 ATS.
When it comes to scoring, the Heat have been below the NBA average in 64.5% of their games this season. In terms of points per game, Miami is ranked 27th in the league at 110.7 PPG. On the road, the Heat are averaging 107.9 PPG.
Heading into this game, Miami has scored fewer points in their last two games. In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the NBA at 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 23rd in the league at 46%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 6th in the NBA at 37% from beyond the arc. On average, Miami is making 12.5 three-pointers per game, which is 16th in the league. In terms of free throws, the Heat are 7th in the NBA at 18.7 made free throws per game.
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.0 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Heat squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.1% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.3% from downtown.
Today, the Thunder will look to extend their home winning streak to eight games as they face the Heat. Oklahoma City is 24-6 at home this season and is favored by 8.5 points.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record at home is 21-9, and they have covered the spread in four straight games at home. Overall, they are 39-23 ATS this season, but have failed to cover in their last two games on the road.
In their most recent game, the Thunder defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 128-120. The O/U line for that game was 224.5, and OKC was favored by 13 points. This improved their record to 43-19 on the season, which is 2nd in the Western Conference.
This season, the Thunder have been favored in 46 of their 62 games and have a record of 34-12 in those games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 28-18, and they are 9-7 straight-up as the favorite.
Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 34-27-1, and their games have averaged a combined 234.4 points. Today’s O/U line of 223.5 is lower than 58 of their previous games.
At home, the Thunder are averaging 123.6 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 2nd in scoring at 121 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 1st in the NBA with a 39% three-point shooting percentage. They are also 2nd in field goal percentage at 50%. In terms of assists, they are 12th in the league with an average of 26.8 assists per game.
So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.4% of their games. In terms of free throws, they are 17th in attempts and 11th in made free throws. Finally, they are 29th in offensive rebounds.
So far, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 13th in the league at 113.4 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.6 turnovers per game, ranking 2nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.7 blocked shots each game.
Despite being 8.5 point underdogs, we predict the Heat to come out on top with a final score of 117-116.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- We like the Heat on the moneyline (+277)
- The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +8.5
- Projecting a combined 233 points, we like the over
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kevin Love – Heel – Out
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
