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houston rockets vs san antonio spurs 03/05/2024 sport preview

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Betting Tips 3/5/2024

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Selections

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs 3/5/2024
  • Take the Rockets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Spurs (+7.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 209 points, and we suggest taking the under

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Preview

The Spurs (+248) will head to Houston (-311) to take on the Rockets at the Toyota Center. The over/under line is currently set at 229 points.

San Antonio has won two straight games and is 13-48 on the season. The Rockets are 26-34 and currently sit in 12th place in the Western Conference.

Check out BetCoco for Houston Rockets – San Antonio Spurs odds

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last five head to head matchups, the Rockets have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. It is worth noting that even though the Rockets have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in the three most recent matchups vs. the Spurs, they are just 1-2 the last three times they hosted the Spurs.

  • Across their last five road contests, San Antonio has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-5, while averaging 109 points per game.
  • In their last five games at home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 107 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Spurs have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
  • The Rockets have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

In their last game, the Spurs defeated the Pacers by a score of 117-105. The O/U line for the game was 242 points, and San Antonio covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs.

San Antonio has won two straight games and is 13-48 on the season. In the Western Conference, they are in 15th place and have a record of 8-26 against other teams in the West.

As the underdog, the Spurs have a scoring differential of -10 points per game. Today, they are 7.5-point underdogs and have a 9-47 record as the underdog this season.

This year, the Spurs have an O/U record of 31-29-1, and their games have averaged 232.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 229, with 14 of their games having lower lines than that.

In terms of ATS, the Spurs have covered the spread in three straight games and have an overall ATS record of 30-31. On the road, they are 16-17 ATS compared to 14-14 ATS at home.

San Antonio comes into the game ranked 22nd in the league in scoring at 112.3 points per game. On the road, the Spurs are averaging 109.9 points per game.

So far this season, the Spurs have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.3% of their games. They are also 3rd in the league in pace at 101.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, San Antonio is 25th in field goal percentage at 46%. From three-point range, the Spurs are making 12.5 threes per game, which is 15th in the NBA.

Coming into the game, the Spurs will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 120.3 points per game (25th). In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Spurs defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 56.0% while allowing 38.2% from downtown.

In their last game against the Suns, the Rockets won by a score of 118-109. They were 8.5-point underdogs in that game, giving them an ATS record of 31-28 for the season. The O/U line for that game was 232.5.

Houston has won two straight games against the spread and is 12-7 ATS as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +8.1 PPG compared to -4 PPG as the underdog.

This season, the Rockets have an O/U record of 26-34, with the under hitting in their last five games. On average, their games have finished with 225.8 points compared to today’s O/U line of 229.

Overall, Houston is 26-34 this season and is currently 12th in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 18-18 and 7-5 against division opponents. At home, the Rockets are 20-10 compared to 6-24 on the road.

At home, the Rockets are scoring 115.0 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Houston is 28th at 45%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Rockets are 20th in made threes per game at 12.2. However, they are just 28th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%.

Coming into this game, Houston has outscored the NBA scoring average in 36.7% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 13th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

Currently, the Rockets’ defense holds the 11th rank in the NBA, allowing 113.0 points per game. Most recently, the Rockets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 109 points to the Suns.

The Rockets enter this game as 7.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 108-101.

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Tips

  • Take the Rockets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Spurs (+7.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 209 points, and we suggest taking the under

Houston Rockets Injury Report

  • Steven Adams – Knee – Out
  • Tari Eason – Leg – Out

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

  • Charles Bassey – Left Knee – Out
  • Julian Champagnie – Ankle – Questionable
  • Victor Wembanyama – Shoulder – Questionable

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