Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Preview
Looking to win big? The Panthers and Lightning face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning are hosting the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL.
In this division matchup, the Panthers are favored by -1.5 against the Lightning. The over/under for the game is 6.5 goals. Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Lightning – Florida Panthers odds
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over the last three times that the Lightning have hosted the Panthers, they have gone 2-1. Against the spread, the Panthers have the edge at 2-1 over their last three games vs. the Lightning. However, the Lightning have gone 1-2 in their last three home games vs. the Panthers.
- Through their last ten road contests, the Panthers offense has averaged 4 goals per game while allowing an average of 1. Florida posted an overall record of 10-0 while going 7-3 ATS.
- Across their last five home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 6 goals per game.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Lightning have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 2-3.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Florida has an puck line mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction
Florida comes into this game as the top team in the Eastern Conference with 74 points and a record of 35-15-4. On the road, the Panthers have been even better, going 19-7-2 and riding a ten-game winning streak.
Against other teams from the Atlantic Division, Florida has gone 7-4 this season and has been favored in 44 of their 54 games, including each of their last four wins.
The Panthers come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 12th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 1st in the league. This season, the Panthers have a 25-13 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 8-2 record.
Entering the game, goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has started 39 games this season. His current record stands at 26-10, and his save percentage is 0.925%.
At home this season, the Lightning have gone 18-5-3 and are currently riding an eight-game winning streak. For the year, Tampa Bay has gone 30-20-5 and is in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division and 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Against teams from the East, the Lightning have gone 14-14 this season.
Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3 and have won three straight games. As the underdog, Tampa Bay has gone 9-11-4 this year and has won five straight games when they have been the underdog.
Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 16th position in the league. So far this year, the Lightning are 19-11 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 11-8 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy gets the start and has made 30 starts this season. His record at this point is 19-11, and his save percentage is 0.774%.
Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Lightning winning this game by a score of 4-3.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Betting Tips
- We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+104)
- The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Report
- Nick Paul – Undisclosed – Questionable
- Brent Seabrook – Shoulder/Back/Hip – Out
- Mikhail Sergachev – Leg – Out
- Logan Brown – Undisclosed – Out
- Tanner Jeannot – Lower Body – Out
Florida Panthers Injury Report
- William Lockwood – Concussion – Questionable
