Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview
Betting on today’s Maple Leafs and Senators game? Catch the action at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON, as the Senators hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+.
The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorites in this Atlantic division matchup against the Senators. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 goals. Check out BetCoco for Ottawa Senators – Toronto Maple Leafs odds
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over their previous five games against the Senators, the Maple Leafs have put together a record of 3-2. The over/under record in the five most recent head to head games between the Maple Leafs and Senators is 3-2 with an average of 6 goals per game. The last three times that the Maple Leafs have been on the road vs. the Senators, the over/under record is 3-2.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 4-6 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
- Through their last ten home games, Ottawa has an puck line record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 3 goals per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Senators have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 4-1.
- As the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have an puck line mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
Heading into today’s game, the Maple Leafs are 26-15-8 and sit in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division and 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 5-5, and they have won four of their last five contests.
On the road this year, the Maple Leafs are 14-5-6 and have won their last two games away from home. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 22-11-7, and they have been favored in 40 of their 49 games.
On the offensive side, the Maple Leafs are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 7th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 5th in the league. So far this year, the Maple Leafs are 13-7 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 11-7 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Heading into this matchup vs. Ottawa, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 21 games in this season. His current record is 9-4, and his save percentage stands at 0.553%.
At home this season, the Senators have gone 13-12-2 and are 8th in the Atlantic Division. In the Eastern Conference, Ottawa is 15th with a record of 20-25-2. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Senators have gone 15-14.
Over their last ten games, Ottawa has gone 6-4 and have won their last two games. As the underdog this season, the Senators have gone 8-16-2 and have been the underdog in 26 of their 47 games.
The Senators come into the game scoring an average of 3.3 goals per game, putting them 15th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 16th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Senators offense is 22nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 20th in the NHL.
Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Joonas Korpisalo has started 29 games in this season. His current record is 12-16, and his save percentage stands at 0.859%.
Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a 4-3 win.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Tips
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the puck line, we like Senators (+1.5)
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Ottawa Senators Injury Report
- Anton Forsberg – Groin – Out
- Travis Hamonic – Upper Body – Probable
- Jake Sanderson – Lower Body – Out
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Calle Jarnkrok – Hand – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Joseph Woll – Ankle – Out
- David Kampf – Undisclosed – Out
