Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-346) will host the San Antonio Spurs (+272) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 8 points and have a record of 27-24, which is good for 7th in the Eastern Conference. The Spurs are 15th in the West with a record of 10-40 and have lost four straight games.
This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on BSSU. The over/under line for this game is 223.5.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – San Antonio Spurs odds
Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Heat and Spurs have gone in favor of the Heat, putting together a record of 8-2. The last three times that the Heat have hosted the Spurs, the over/under record is 1-2 with the teams combining for an average of 238 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 2-1.
- Across the Spurs last ten road games, the team averaged 116 points per game while allowing 118. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 3-7 straight-up.
- Through their last five home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 0-3-2. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 99 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-0-1 in these scenarios.
Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
On the season, the Spurs are 27-22-1 against the over/under, and the under has hit in their last six games. Today’s O/U line of 223.5 is lower than their season average of 233.2 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Spurs lost to the Cavaliers by a score of 117-101. The combined scoring in that game was 218 points, which was well below the O/U line of 231.5.
San Antonio is currently in 15th place in the Western Conference with a record of 10-40. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place.
As the underdog, the Spurs have lost four straight games and are 6-39 as the underdog this season. Today, they are getting 8 points on the spread, and their ATS record as the underdog is 20-25 (12-12 on the road).
In non-conference games, the Spurs are 3-19 compared to 7-21 against Western Conference opponents. On the road, they are 5-19 for the season.
When it comes to scoring, the Spurs are averaging 112.3 points per game, which is 24th in the NBA. On the road, they are averaging 110.0 points per game.
In terms of pace, San Antonio is 5th in the league at 101.4 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, they are 27th in the NBA at 46%.
So far this season, the Spurs have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 3rd in the league with an average of 29.3 per game.
At present, the Spurs’ defense is ranked 26th, allowing 120.9 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Spurs are forcing 14.4 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 4th in blocked shots at 6.1 per game.
In Miami’s last game against the Magic, the teams combined for 216 points, which was well above the over/under line of 213.5. The Heat won the game by a score of 121-95, covering the spread as 3-point favorites.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 21-30 and their games have averaged 221.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5, which is slightly higher than their season average of 222.6.
Miami has won three straight games as the favorite and is favored by 8 points against the Spurs. As the favorite, the Heat have a record of 21-10 and are 13-15 ATS in those games. As the favorite, they have gone 13-15 ATS on the road and 10-16 ATS at home.
In the Eastern Conference standings, Miami is currently in 7th place with a record of 27-24. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Heat are 20-15 compared to 7-9 in non-conference games.
On average, Miami has a scoring differential of -0.2 points per game at home and -0.9 points per game on the road. Their ATS record at home is 10-16 and 11-11 on the road.
The Heat are currently 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.4 points per game. At home, they are averaging 113.2 points per game.
In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game. They are also 25th in field goal percentage at 46%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 17th in made threes at 12.4 per game. Overall, they are 9th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.9 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12.3 turnovers per game, ranking 10th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.2 blocked shots each game.
With a 8-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Heat to secure a 113-106 victory.
Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Spurs (+8)
- Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
- Charles Bassey – Left Knee – Out
