Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview
This non-conference matchup between the Bucks and Mavericks will tip-off at 8:30 ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Bucks (-184) are favored by 4 points over the Mavericks (+151), and the over/under line is currently sitting at 249.5 points.
Both teams are looking to bounce back from losing streaks. The Bucks (32-16) have lost two straight, while the Mavericks (26-22) have dropped three in a row. Milwaukee is currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference, while Dallas is 8th in the Western Conference.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Milwaukee Bucks odds
Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Across the previous three matchups between Dallas and Milwaukee, the Bucks have played well, sitting at 3-0. However, the average point differential between the two teams has been been close, with Milwaukee averaging 120 points and Dallas at 115.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 2-8 vs. the spread. The team averaged 120 points per game in this stretch.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- The last three games that Milwaukee was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
In games against Western Conference opponents, the Bucks are 8-4 this season compared to 24-12 against the East. On the road, they are 11-11 compared to 21-5 at home.
Milwaukee is 32-16 overall, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. They are also in 1st place in the Central Division.
As the favorite, the Bucks have a record of 32-13 this season and are favored by 4 points today. Against the spread, they are 17-28 as the favorite and 18-30 overall.
In their last game, the Bucks lost to the Trail Blazers by a score of 119-116. The O/U line for that game was 237.5, and Milwaukee was favored by 10.5 points going into the game.
For the season, the Bucks have an O/U record of 28-20, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 243.8 points.
Heading into their matchup with the Mavericks, the Bucks are the NBA’s second-highest scoring team at 123.9 points per game. They have been particularly effective on the road, averaging 121.8 points per game away from home.
In terms of pace, Milwaukee is third in the league at 101.9 possessions per game. This has helped them to a top-five ranking in three-point attempts, as they are averaging 37.7 per contest.
When it comes to shooting, the Bucks are fourth in field goal percentage at 49%. Inside the arc, they are connecting on 58% of their attempts, which is the second-best mark in the NBA.
Coming into today’s game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 119.9 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Bucks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.6% and 34.5% from three-point territory.
Dallas is 26-22 on the season and is currently 8th in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, the Mavericks are 18-18 compared to 8-4 against non-conference opponents.
As the underdog, the Mavericks are 8-14 this season, and they are 9-13 against the spread as the underdog. They have lost their last two games as the underdog straight-up and are 2-0 against the spread as the underdog.
In their last game, the Mavericks lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 121-87. The O/U line for that game was 221.5, and Dallas was getting 12.5 points. This was their 4th straight ATS loss at home.
This season, Dallas has an average scoring differential of +2.4 points per game at home. Against the spread, they are 11-15 at home and 12-10 straight-up. Today’s O/U line of 249.5 is higher than any of their previous games this season.
In terms of their O/U record, the Mavericks are 26-22 this season. In their last game, the final score of 208 points was well below the O/U line of 221.5.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 10th in scoring at 118.2 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the top teams in the league. They are 2nd in both three-point attempts and makes, averaging 15 made threes per game. However, their three-point shooting percentage is 13th at 37%.
Overall, the Mavericks are 17th in field goal percentage at 47%. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 9th in the league at 55%. In terms of assists, Dallas is 22nd in the NBA at 25.4 per game.
On average, the Dallas defense is giving up 118.6 points per game (22nd). Right now, they are on a 2 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.5% and allowing 37.0% from beyond the arc.
According to our analysis, we anticipate the Bucks to win this one with a projected score of 117-106.
Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips
- Take the Bucks on the moneyline
- The Bucks should also cover at -4
- Our NBA model projects 223 points, and we suggest taking the under
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Kyrie Irving – Thumb – Doubtful
- Dante Exum – Knee – Out
- Derrick Jones Jr. – Wrist – Questionable
- Maxi Kleber – Nasal Fracture – Probable
- Dereck Lively II – Nose – Doubtful
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Andre Jackson Jr. – Wrist – Questionable
