Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Preview
In a non-conference matchup, the Miami Heat (-114) will host the Sacramento Kings (-107) at 7:30 ET. The Heat (-1) are favored despite a seven-game losing streak and will look to get back on track against a Kings team that has won four straight.
This game will take place at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line is currently set at 229.5 points.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Sacramento Kings odds
Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last five head to head matchups, the Heat have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. The last last three times that the Kings have faced off against the Heat as the underdog, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
- Across their five previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 97 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Kings have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-3.
- The last ten games that Miami was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-6-1 while going 4-6 straight up.
Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Sacramento has won four straight games and is currently 27-18, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place.
In games against Western Conference opponents, the Kings are 18-13 compared to 9-5 in non-conference games. On the road, they have a record of 13-10.
As the underdog, the Kings are 4-6 this season, and they have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog. Today, they are getting 1 point, and their ATS record on the road is 14-9.
The Kings’ O/U record for the season is 21-23-1, and their last two games have gone under the posted totals. On average, their games have scored 235.8 points.
In their most recent game, the Kings beat the Grizzlies by a score of 103-94. They were favored by 11 points in that game but did not cover the spread. The O/U line for that game was 223.5.
When it comes to scoring, the Kings are a top-10 team in the league at 118.4 points per game. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 121.3 points compared to 115.6 on the road.
Sacramento’s offense is built around the three-point shot, as they are 4th in the league in three-point percentage and 4th in made threes at 15 per game. Overall, the Kings are shooting 48% from the field, which is 11th in the NBA.
So far this season, Sacramento has outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.7% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 9th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game.
So far, the Kings’ defense is ranked 19th in the league at 117.5 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Kings are causing 12.8 turnovers per game, ranking 14th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 27th in rejections, averaging 4.1 blocked shots each game.
Miami is favored by 1 point against the Kings and has gone 19-26 ATS this season. The Heat have also failed to cover the spread in their last seven games.
In their last game, the Heat lost to the Suns by a score of 118-105. Miami was favored by 2.5 points in that game, and the O/U line was 230.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 20-27, and their games have averaged 222.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 229.5.
Looking at their ATS record, the Heat are 8-15 at home and 11-11 on the road. At home, they have an ATS scoring margin of -1.4 points per game and are 12-11 straight-up.
Currently, Miami is 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 24-23. In the East, they are 18-15 and 9-2 against other teams in their division.
In their last seven games, the Heat have lost all seven games and are 6-13 as the favorite this season.
When playing at home, the Heat have averaged 113.6 points per game this season, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, Miami is 27th in scoring at 110.4 points per game.
So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 34% of their games. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 5th in the NBA in three-point percentage at 37%. However, they are just 27th in field goal percentage overall.
In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 7th in the NBA by allowing 111.7 points per game. The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.
Despite being 1 point underdogs, we predict the Kings to come out on top with a final score of 116-111.
Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Betting Tips
- We like the Kings on the moneyline (-107)
- The Kings are also our pick on the spread at +1
- Our NBA model projects 227 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Duncan Robinson – Concussion – Out
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Sasha Vezenkov – Ankle – Questionable
