Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies will be in Miami to take on the Heat. The Heat (-468) are currently favored by 10 over the Grizzlies (+355) in this non-conference matchup. Miami is 6th in the Eastern Conference, while Memphis is 13th in the West.
TV: BSSU
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Memphis Grizzlies odds
Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Heat have faced off vs. the Grizzlies as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In addition to going 2-1 vs. the spread in the last three head-to-head games vs. the Grizzlies, the Heat are 2-1 ATS the last three times they have hosted the Grizzlies.
- Memphis has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 112. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Through their last five home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 97 points per game while allowing an average of 106. Miami posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 ATS.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
- As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
In their last game, the Grizzlies picked up a 108-100 win over the Raptors. As 7-point underdogs, they easily covered the spread and improved their ATS record to 18-25 for the season. The combined scoring total of 208 was well below the O/U line of 227.
Memphis is 16-27 on the season and is currently in 13th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 12-21 and 6-6 against teams in their division.
On the road, the Grizzlies are 12-12 this season and have an ATS record of 13-11. Their average scoring differential on the road is -4.2 points per game.
As underdogs, the Grizzlies have a record of 10-20 this season. They are 13-17 against the spread as underdogs and have gone 30-3 as underdogs this season.
For the season, the Grizzlies have an O/U record of 18-24-1. In their games this season, the average combined scoring total is 221.1 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 213.
When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies are one of the worst teams in the league, ranking 29th in points per game at 107.8. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 110 points per game compared to 105.2 at home.
So far this season, Memphis has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 25.6% of their games. They are also one of the worst teams in terms of field goal percentage, shooting just 43% from the field (29th).
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Grizzlies are 9th in the league in made threes per game at 13.5. However, they are last in three-point shooting percentage at just 34%. In terms of assists, Memphis is 25th in the NBA with an average of 24.8 per game.
At this time, the Grizzlies’ defense is positioned 13th in the NBA, permitting 113.3 points per game. Inside the arc, the Grizzlies defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.6% and 38.5% from three-point territory.
Miami has gone 19-22 ATS this season and has failed to cover the spread in their last three games. At home, they are 8-12 ATS compared to 11-10 on the road. Today, they are favored by 10 points.
In their last game against Orlando, the Heat were favored by 1 point but lost by a score of 105-87. This loss dropped their record to 24-19 on the season, which is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
Out of Miami’s 43 games this season, they have been favored in 26 of them. As the favorite, they have a record of 18-8 and have gone 11-13 ATS. As the favorite, their scoring margin is +1.4 PPG.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 18-25, and the under has hit in their last six games. Today’s O/U line is 213, and their games have averaged 221.5 points per game.
At home, the Heat have been averaging 115.1 points per game, which is 19th in the NBA. Overall, they are 26th in scoring at 110.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 96.4 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 7th in the NBA with a 37% success rate. They are also 16th in three-point makes at 12.4 per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 22nd at 46%.
So far this season, the Heat have outscored the league average in just 37.2% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 19th in the league at 25.7 per game. In terms of free throws, Miami is 6th in makes at 19.4 per game.
Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 25.6% of their games. Currently, they are 5th in the NBA at 110.7 points per game allowed. Most recently, the Heat’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 105 points to the Magic.
Even though they are 10 point underdogs, we see the Grizzlies winning this game by a score of 111-110.
Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Tips
- We like the Grizzlies on the moneyline (+355)
- The Grizzlies are also our pick on the spread at +10
- Projecting a combined 221 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Terry Rozier – Trade Pending – Questionable
- Haywood Highsmith – Foot – Probable
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Groin – Doubtful
Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report
- Derrick Rose – Hamstring – Out
- Marcus Smart – Finger – Out
- Steven Adams – Knee – Out
- Ja Morant – Shoulder – Out
- Brandon Clarke – Achilles – Out
- Desmond Bane – Ankle – Out
- Santi Aldama – Knee – Out
- Jake LaRavia – Ankle – Out
