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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips 1212024 (1)

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips 1/21/2024

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Selections

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets 1/21/2024
  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Wizards (+13.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 228 points, and we suggest taking the under

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Preview

At 6:00 ET, the Washington Wizards (7-34) will host the Denver Nuggets (29-14) in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets are currently favored by 13.5 points and have a moneyline of -1028. The Wizards (+651) have lost three straight and are 14th in the Eastern Conference.

This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and can be seen on MNMT.

Check out BetCoco for Washington Wizards – Denver Nuggets odds

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last three games between Washington and Denver, the Nuggets have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 15 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Denver is averaging 128 points compared to Washington at 113.

  • Across the Nuggets last five road games, the team averaged 113 points per game while allowing 114. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 3-2 straight-up.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Washington has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 110 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are 27-11 this season when favored and have won their last two games as the favorite. In those games, they have gone 17-20 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game.

On the season, Denver has been favored in 38 of their 43 games. Today, they are favored by 13.5 points and have an ATS record of 19-23 for the season. On the road, they are 8-14 ATS.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 17-25-1, with an average over/under line of 227.4. In their games this season, the average combined scoring total has been 227.1 points per game.

In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Celtics by a score of 102-100. They were 7.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 234.5 points.

In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are currently in 3rd place with a record of 29-14. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-10 and 12-4 in non-conference games.

This season, the Nuggets are one of the most efficient teams in the league, shooting 49% from the field (3rd). However, they are last in the NBA in pace at just 96.3 possessions per game.

In terms of scoring, Denver is averaging 116 points per game (14th). Interestingly, they are much better at home, where they average 120.6 points compared to 111.6 on the road.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 9th in the league at 37%. They are also 2nd in two-point field goals made and attempted, hitting 56% of their shots inside the arc.

At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 6th, allowing 111.1 points per game. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.8% and 36.3% from three-point territory.

Washington is 7-34 this season and is currently on a three-game losing streak. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 14th place and 5th in the Southeast Division.

As the underdog, the Wizards are 19-19 against the spread this season. Today, they are getting 13.5 points and have gone 19-22 ATS overall. At home, their ATS record is 5-13, and they have failed to cover in their last two games at home.

In their last game, the Wizards lost to the Spurs by a score of 131-127. The O/U line for that game was 240.5, and Washington was favored by 2 points. This season, their games have averaged 240.8 points.

Overall, the Wizards have an O/U record of 22-19 this season. In their games, the average over/under line is 241.4 points, which is higher than today’s line of 238.

This season, the Wizards are the fastest-paced team in the NBA, averaging 102.6 possessions per game. They are also 1st in two-point field goal attempts and 7th in two-point field goals made.

Overall, the Wizards are 15th in scoring at 115.7 points per game. At home, they are averaging 117.2 points per game compared to 114.5 on the road.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Wizards are 21st in three-point shooting percentage at 35%. They are also 17th in three-point makes at 12.4 per game.

On defense, the Wizards come into the game ranked 30th in the league in points allowed at 125.2 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 124.3 points per contest (20th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Wizards are forcing 13.2 per game, which is 17th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 14th in blocked shots at 5.4 per game.

With a 13.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Nuggets to secure a 119-109 victory.

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips

  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Wizards (+13.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 228 points, and we suggest taking the under

Washington Wizards Injury Report

  • Daniel Gafford – Concussion – Questionable

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  • Aaron Gordon – Shoulder – Probable
  • Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
  • Julian Strawther – Knee – Out

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