Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Denver Nuggets will travel to take on the Boston Celtics at TD Garden. ESPN will have the TV coverage for this non-conference matchup.
Currently, the Celtics are favored by 6 points and have a moneyline of -229. On the other side, the Nuggets are +188 on the moneyline. The over/under line is set at 234.5.
Check out BetCoco for Boston Celtics – Denver Nuggets odds
Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Denver and Boston, the Celtics hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 9 points.
- Although Denver has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 117 points per game in these games.
- Across their five previous home games, Boston has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 115 points per game.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Denver has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.
- The Celtics have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are 28-14 this season and are currently 3rd in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 11-4 compared to 17-10 against the West.
As the underdog, Denver has a record of 1-3 this season, and they have lost their last three games against the spread as the underdog. Today, they are getting 6 points vs. the Celtics.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets lost to the 76ers by a score of 126-121. The O/U line for that game was 232.5, and Denver was getting 2 points. This puts their ATS record at 18-23 for the season.
This year, the average scoring line for Denver’s games is 227.2, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 234.5. Their games have averaged 227.7 points per game.
In terms of their ATS record, the Nuggets are 7-14 on the road and have failed to cover the spread in four straight games on the road. Their overall ATS record is 18-23.
This season, the Nuggets’ offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 116.3 points per game (13th). However, when playing on the road, they have averaged 112 points per game (19th).
So far, Denver has outscored the NBA scoring average in 54.8% of their games. They are currently 3rd in field goal percentage (49%) and 9th in true shooting percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 6th in three-point percentage (37%). However, they are just 24th in three-point makes per game (11.9).
This season, the Nuggets’ defense is the 7th ranked defense in the NBA at 7th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 66.7% of their games. The Denver defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Denver.
In their last game, the Celtics defeated the Spurs by a score of 117-98. The combined scoring in that game was 215 points, which was well below the O/U line of 238. Boston was favored by 15 points in that game, giving them an ATS win.
For the season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 22-19, and today’s line of 234.5 is lower than their season average of 230.8. The under has also hit in their last two games.
Boston has won three straight games and is currently in 1st place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 32-9. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Celtics are 23-6 and 11-1 against their division.
At home, the Celtics have an average scoring differential of +15.6 points per game. Against the spread at home, they are 12-7 and have won 20 straight games overall. As the favorite, the Celtics are 30-8 this season and are favored by 6 points today.
Coming into today’s game, the Celtics are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, leading the NBA in both three-point attempts and makes. On average, they are making 16.2 threes per game, which is the highest mark in the league. Overall, Boston is 5th in scoring at 120.9 points per game.
At home, the Celtics are averaging 124 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. So far this season, they have outscored the league average in 70.7% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Boston is 11th in the league at 47%.
When it comes to pace, the Celtics are 16th in the NBA at 98.9 possessions per game. They are also one of the top teams in two-point shooting percentage at 56%, which is 4th in the league. However, they are just 28th in two-point makes.
In the current season, the Celtics defense has excelled, sitting 5th in the NBA by allowing 110.9 points per game. For the season, Boston is ranked 29th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.6 free-throws per game vs. the Celtics and have an overall field goal percentage of 45.0%.
In spite of being 6 point underdogs, we anticipate the Nuggets winning this one 120-119.
Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- We like the Nuggets on the moneyline (+188)
- The Nuggets are also our pick on the spread at +6
- Projecting a combined 239 points, we like the over
Boston Celtics Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Shoulder – Probable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
