Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-254) will host the Atlanta Hawks (+210) in an Eastern Southeast division matchup. The Heat (-6.5) are favored over the Hawks, and the over/under line is set at 228.5.
Miami (24-17) is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference, while Atlanta (17-23) is 10th. The Hawks (+2) have won two straight games, and the Heat (-1) are atop the Southeast.
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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Hawks and Heat did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Heat have the leg up at 2-1. The Heat also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 226 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- Across the Hawks last five road games, the team averaged 116 points per game while allowing 126. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-5, while going 1-4 straight-up.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 107 points per game while allowing an average of 108. Miami posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Hawks have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 2-8.
- Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Heat have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 against the spread.
Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction
Today, the Hawks will look to extend their winning streak to three games as they take on the Heat. This season, Atlanta has a record of 17-23, which is currently 10th in the Eastern Conference.
The Hawks are 6.5-point underdogs today and have gone 5-13 straight-up as the underdog this season. Their ATS record as the underdog is 5-13 and they have failed to cover the spread in their last three games as the underdog.
In their most recent game, the Hawks defeated the Magic by a score of 106-104. The O/U line for that game was 229 points, and Atlanta was favored by 4. However, the Hawks did not cover the spread.
For the season, the Hawks have an O/U record of 22-18, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 243.9 points, which is higher than today’s line of 228.5.
Overall, the Hawks are 9-12 on the road and have an ATS record of 6-15 on the road. Their average scoring differential on the road is -1.7 points per game.
Heading into their matchup with the Miami Heat, the Atlanta Hawks are one of the top offensive teams in the NBA, averaging 121 points per game (4th). On the road, they are scoring 120.3 points per game (3rd).
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Hawks are 7th in made threes per game (13.7) and 6th in three-point attempts (37.9). Overall, they are shooting 36% from beyond the arc (17th).
So far this season, Atlanta has outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 5th in the league at 101.5 possessions per game.
Currently, the Hawks’ defense holds the 28th rank in the NBA, allowing 123.0 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Hawks are causing 13.3 turnovers per game, ranking 20th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 22nd in rejections, averaging 4.6 blocked shots each game.
Miami is 19-20 against the spread this season, including an 8-11 ATS record at home. The Heat have covered the spread in two straight games at home and are favored by 6.5 points today.
In the Eastern Conference, Miami is currently in 6th place with a record of 24-17. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Heat are 18-11 compared to 6-6 against the West.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 18-23, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 222.4 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 228.5.
In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the Raptors by a score of 121-97. The O/U line for that game was 225.5, and Miami was favored by 3 points going into the game.
At home, Miami has an average scoring differential of +1.2 PPG. Their straight-up record at home is 12-7, and they are 8-11 ATS. As the favorite, the Heat are 18-6 this season.
The Miami Heat have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 26th in scoring at 111.5 points per game. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 115.5 points per game compared to 108.1 on the road.
One area where the Heat have excelled is getting to the free-throw line, ranking 10th in free-throw attempts per game. They have also been efficient from beyond the arc, hitting 37% of their three-point attempts (7th).
Despite their success from three-point range, the Heat have struggled inside the arc, ranking 27th in two-point field goal percentage. Overall, they are shooting 46% from the field, which is 21st in the NBA.
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.9 points per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 28th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 20.4 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.5%.
Even though they are 6.5 point underdogs, we see the Hawks winning this game by a score of 116-113.
Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Tips
- We like the Hawks on the moneyline (+210)
- The Hawks are also our pick on the spread at +6.5
- Projecting a combined 229 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kevin Love – Knee – Questionable
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Groin – Doubtful
Atlanta Hawks Injury Report
- Wesley Matthews – Calf – Out
- Trae Young – Illness – Questionable
- De’Andre Hunter – Knee – Out
- Vít Krejčí – Shoulder – Out
- Mouhamed Gueye – Back – Out
