Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview
At 10:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-1001) will host the Grizzlies (+641) in a Western Conference matchup. Minnesota (-13.5) is favored and has won three straight games. The over/under line for the game is 215.
This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis. The Grizzlies are 13th in the Western Conference with a record of 15-25, while the Timberwolves are 1st in the West at 29-11.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Timberwolves – Memphis Grizzlies odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Memphis and Minnesota, the Timberwolves hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 8 points.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- In their last five home games, Minnesota has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 109. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- As the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Memphis posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
- The last ten games that Minnesota was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 7-3 straight up.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
This season, Memphis has an O/U record of 16-23-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 215 is lower than their season average of 221.5.
Against the spread, Memphis is 17-23 overall and 12-9 on the road. They have covered the spread in their last three road games and are 9-18 as the underdog this season. As the underdog, they are 12-15 ATS.
Memphis is coming off a 116-107 win over the Warriors. They were 7.5-point underdogs in that game. This improved their record to 15-25 for the season, which is 13th in the Western Conference.
Looking at their Western Conference record, the Grizzlies are 12-20 compared to 3-5 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 11-10 for the season.
For the season, Memphis has been the underdog in 27 of their 40 games. As the underdog, they have a scoring margin of -7.4 points per game. On the road, their scoring differential is -3.1 PPG.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Grizzlies are 29th in the league in scoring at 108.2 points per game. Interestingly, they are actually scoring more on the road (111.0 PPG) than at home (105.2 PPG).
When it comes to pace, Memphis is 12th in the NBA at 99.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 29th at 43%.
One area where the Grizzlies have been effective is from three-point range. They are 9th in the league in three-point makes at 13.5 per game. However, they are just 29th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%.
This season, the Grizzlies’ defense is the 13th ranked defense in the NBA at 13th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 60.0% of their games. Memphis’ defense is currently forcing 13.7 turnovers per game, which is 21st in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 3rd in blocked shots, with an average of 6.3 rejections per game.
The Timberwolves have won three straight games and currently have the best record in the Western Conference at 29-11. In the West, they are 20-6 against other conference opponents and 5-1 against teams in their division.
Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 20-19, and they have covered the spread in two straight home games. As the favorite, they are 15-15 ATS this season.
In their most recent game, the Timberwolves defeated the Pistons by a score of 124-117. The O/U line for that game was 223, and Minnesota was favored by 12.5 points.
This season, the average combined scoring total in Timberwolves games is 220.9 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 215, and Minnesota has an O/U record of 21-19 this season.
Overall, the Timberwolves have gone 25-6 as the favorite this season and are favored by 13.5 points against the Grizzlies. Against the spread, they are 10-8 at home and 16-2 straight-up.
At home, the Timberwolves are averaging 112.6 points per game, which is 25th in the NBA. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 113.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Minnesota is 6th in the league at 48%. When it comes to pace, they are 23rd in the NBA.
So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 42.5% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 3rd in the league at 38%, but they are only 26th in three-point attempts.
When it comes to free throws, Minnesota is 10th in the NBA in free throws made per game at 18.8. In terms of assists, they are 15th in the league at 26.2 per game.
In the current season, the Timberwolves defense has excelled, sitting 1st in the NBA by allowing 107.6 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.4 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 8th in blocked shots at 5.9 per game.
With the Timberwolves being favored by 13.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 117-110 in favor of the Timberwolves.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Tips
- Take the Timberwolves on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Grizzlies (+13.5)
- Projecting a combined 227 points, we like the over
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report
- Derrick Rose – Hamstring – Out
- Marcus Smart – Finger – Out
- Steven Adams – Knee – Out
- Ja Morant – Shoulder – Out
- Brandon Clarke – Achilles – Out
- Desmond Bane – Ankle – Out
- Jake LaRavia – Ankle – Out
