Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Preview
The Red Wings and Maple Leafs are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs will host the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.
The over/under for this game is set at 7 goals, and the Maple Leafs are the home favorites against the Red Wings in a Atlantic division matchup. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Detroit Red Wings odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Red Wings have faced off vs. the Maple Leafs as the underdog, they have gone 2-1. The over/under record in the five most recent head to head games between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs is 1-3-1 with an average of 4 goals per game. The last three times that the Red Wings have been on the road vs. the Maple Leafs, the over/under record is 2-3.
- Through their last ten road games, Detroit has an puck line record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 3 goals per game.
- In their last five games at home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Toronto has an puck line mark of 9-1 while going 7-3 straight up.
- Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Red Wings have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the puck line in these matchups is 1-4.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction
On the season, the Red Wings are 21-17-5, putting them in 5th place in the Atlantic Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference. In the Eastern Conference, they have gone 12-13 and 6-7 against the Atlantic Division. On the road, Detroit is 10-9-1 and has won three straight games away from home.
As the underdog, the Red Wings have gone 12-14-2 this season and have been the favorite in 14 of their 43 games. Overall, they have won four straight games as the favorite and have gone 6-4 in their last ten games.
For their offensive performance, the Red Wings come in averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, which is 4th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 22nd in the league. This year, the Red Wings have recorded a 8-4 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 13-11 record.
Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie James Reimer has started 10 games in this season. His current record is 3-6, and his save percentage stands at 0.427%.
At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 10-8-2, and they are 18-9-7 when favored. Against Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 10-14, and they are 6th in the conference standings. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs are 5-5, and for the year, they have a record of 21-12-8.
So far, the Maple Leafs have played 40 games and have 50 points. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place, and they have gone 6-7 against divisional opponents. Over their last three games, the Maple Leafs have gone 1-2, and they are 3rd in the division standings.
Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.6 goals per contest placing 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 10th position in the league. In terms of the Maple Leafs’ offense during power plays, they are 12th in power play goals and 14th in shorthanded goals.
Heading into this matchup vs. Detroit, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 15 games in this season. His current record is 5-2, and his save percentage stands at 0.447%.
With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Betting Tips
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Red Wings (+1.5)
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Ryan Reaves – Leg – Out
- Joseph Woll – Ankle – Out
Detroit Red Wings Injury Report
- Jake Walman – Illness – Out
- Ville Husso – Lower Body – Out
- Matt Luff – Arm – Out
- Klim Kostin – Upper Body – Out
