Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-163) will host the Orlando Magic (+135) in a Southeast Division matchup. The over/under line for the game is currently sitting at 219 points.
Miami is currently favored by 3.5 points, and they come into the game with a 21-16 record, which is good for 7th in the Eastern Conference. Orlando is 8th in the East, and they have the same record as the Heat.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Orlando Magic odds
Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Heat are averaging 117 points per game, compared to the Magic at 114. These figures have led to Miami posting a record of 2-1.
- Although Orlando has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 115 points per game in these games.
- Through their last three home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 103 points per game while allowing an average of 110. Miami posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Magic have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction
Orlando is currently 21-16 overall and is 8th in the Eastern Conference. They have gone 15-9 against other teams in the East and are 6-7 in non-conference games.
As the underdog, Orlando has a record of 11-14 straight up and 16-9 ATS. On the road, they are 8-11 straight up and 12-7 ATS. The average scoring differential for the Magic on the road is -4.5 PPG.
In their last game, the Magic lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 113-92. They were 5-point underdogs going into the game, and the loss dropped their ATS record to 25-12.
The Magic’s O/U record for the season is 18-19, and the under has hit in their last two games. This year, 30 of their 37 games have had higher O/U lines than 219.
So far this season, the Magic have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 115.7 points per game compared to 111.1 on the road. Overall, they are 20th in the NBA in scoring at 113.3 points per game.
When it comes to pace, Orlando is 12th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 18th at 46%. They are also 22nd in true shooting percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Magic are 27th in the NBA in both three-point percentage (34%) and three-pointers made per game (10.9). However, they are one of the top teams in the league in free throw attempts, averaging 26.7 per game (2nd).
So far, the Magic’s defense is ranked 9th in the league at 112.0 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Magic defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.8% while allowing 35.8% from downtown.
Miami has an overall record of 21-16 and is currently in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-6 compared to 15-10 against other Eastern Conference teams.
At home, the Heat are 10-7 straight up and 6-11 vs. the spread. As the favorite, they have gone 15-5 straight up and 9-10 ATS. In their last game, they lost 128-120 to the Thunder and were 4.5-point underdogs.
For the season, Miami has an O/U record of 18-19, and the over has hit in each of their last two games. This year, 24 of their 37 games have had higher O/U lines than 219.
As the favorite, Miami is 15-5 straight up and 9-10 ATS. Their average scoring margin as the favorite is +2.9 PPG. When they are the underdog, Miami is 6-11 straight up and 8-9 ATS. They have lost two straight games as the underdog vs. the spread.
At home this season, the Heat are averaging 117.1 points per game (12th) compared to their overall average of 112.9 (23rd). So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.2% of their games. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league at 96.9 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 3rd in the NBA with a 38% three-point shooting percentage. In terms of overall field goal percentage, they are 19th at 46%. From inside the arc, Miami is 25th in two-point shooting percentage (52%).
So far, the Heat have made an average of 12.9 three-pointers per game (14th). In terms of free throws, they are 6th in the league at 20 made free throws per game. In terms of assists, Miami is 14th with an average of 26.2 assists per game.
In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 10th in the NBA by allowing 112.1 points per game. In their previous matchup vs. the Thunder, the Heat’s defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 59% leading to 128 points.
Our projections indicate that the Heat should come out top with a projected score of 114-107.
Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- The Heat should also cover at -3.5
- Projecting a combined 221 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kyle Lowry – Hand – Doubtful
- Jimmy Butler – Toe – Doubtful
- Tyler Herro – Shoulder – Questionable
- Caleb Martin – Ankle – Questionable
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
Orlando Magic Injury Report
- Gary Harris – Calf – Out
- Jonathan Isaac – Hamstring – Out
- Wendell Carter Jr. – Knee – Questionable
- Franz Wagner – Ankle – Out
