Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Preview
Planning on watching today’s Nuggets and Jazz game? Catch the action at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT, as the Jazz hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN.
The Nuggets are the favored team in this Northwest divisional contest against the Jazz. The game’s over/under currently sits at 238 points. Check out BetCoco for Utah Jazz – Denver Nuggets odds
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Nuggets have faced off vs. the Jazz as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Jazz and Nuggets, the Jazz hold the edge with an ATS record of 8-2.
- Although Denver has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 116 points per game in these games.
- Across their last three home contests, Utah has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 116 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Jazz have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 8-2.
- Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Nuggets struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Heading into today’s game, the Nuggets are 6.5-point favorites over the Jazz. In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are 3rd with a 26-12 overall record. In non-conference games, Denver is 10-3 compared to 16-9 in the West.
When playing on the road, the Nuggets have gone 11-8 this season and have won six straight games. On average, Denver is outscoring teams by 0.9 points per game on the road.
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 17-20 overall and have failed to cover in their last two road games. As the favorite, Denver is 16-18 straight up and 25-10 overall.
So far this season, the Nuggets have played in 35 games where they were the favorite. In those games, they have an average scoring margin of 6.1 points per game. As the underdog, Denver is 1-2 straight up and 1-2 ATS.
In their games this season, the average over/under line has been 226.4 points. Their over/under record for the season is 15-22-1, and the over has hit in three straight games.
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 11th in the NBA at 116.1 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 111.6 points per game (21st).
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.6% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league at 96.6 possessions per game.
Denver is one of the top shooting teams in the NBA, hitting 49% of their shots (4th). When it comes to two-point field goals, they are 2nd in both attempts and makes. From beyond the arc, the Nuggets are 22nd in made threes and 10th in three-point shooting percentage.
At this time, the Nuggets’ defense is positioned 3rd in the NBA, permitting 110.7 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.1% and allowing 36.2% from beyond the arc.
Coming into today’s game, the Jazz are 6.5-point underdogs at home vs. the Nuggets. In the Western Conference, Utah is currently 11th and has an overall record of 18-20. In non-conference games, they are 8-5 compared to 10-15 in the West.
Looking at their ATS record, the Jazz are 22-16 and have covered the spread in two straight games. As the underdog, they have an ATS record of 18-14 and have won two straight games outright.
At home, the Jazz have won five straight games and have an average scoring margin of +5.5 points per game. Their home record is 11-5 compared to 7-15 on the road.
So far, the Jazz have been the underdog in 32 of their 38 games and have an average scoring margin of -5.8 points per game in those games. As the underdog, they are 18-14 ATS.
In their 132-116 win over the Bucks, the Jazz were 8-point underdogs and won by 16. The over/under line for the game was 242.5 points, and the combined score was 248. This improved Utah’s over/under record to 20-17-1.
This season, the Jazz have been one of the top offensive rebounding teams in the league, averaging 12.9 offensive boards per game (3rd). In terms of scoring, they are averaging 115.1 points per game (17th), but at home, their scoring output increases to 121.2 points per game (7th).
Utah’s pace of play is 99.9 possessions per game (11th), and they have been one of the more efficient three-point shooting teams in the league, making 13.1 threes per game (12th). However, they are shooting just 35% from beyond the arc (26th).
So far, the Jazz have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.6% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are shooting 46% from the field (25th).
Coming into the game, the Jazz will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 118.7 points per game (23rd). In their previous matchup vs. the Bucks, the Jazz’s defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 52% leading to 116 points.
With the Nuggets being favored by 6.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 114-110 in favor of the Nuggets.
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Jazz (+6.5)
- Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under
Utah Jazz Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
