Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview
The Thunder and Nuggets are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ALT. The Nuggets will host the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.
The over/under for this Northwest division contest is set at 232 points, with the Nuggets being the favored team playing at home against the Thunder. Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Oklahoma City Thunder odds
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Thunder and Nuggets did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Thunder have a record of 2-1. The Thunder also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 218 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- Oklahoma City has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 116. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Nuggets offense has averaged 111 points per game while allowing an average of 109. Denver posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 6-4 ATS.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Thunder have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 5-0.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Thunder will enter today’s matchup with the Nuggets as 3.5-point underdogs, and they will also be looking to extend their current win streak to three games. So far, OKC has gone 20-9 and are in 3rd place in the Western Conference.
Against the spread, the Thunder have gone 21-8, and they have covered the spread in two straight road games. On the road, OKC is 8-4 straight up and 9-3 vs. the spread. When playing on the road, their games have averaged 7.2 points per contest.
In their 129-120 win over the Knicks, OKC also covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under line in that game was 242 points, and the teams combined to score 249 points. This was the 4th straight over for the Thunder and their over/under record this season is 17-12.
In their most recent game, the Thunder scored 129 points and shot 54.4% from the field while going 17/22 from the free-throw line. Over their last three games, Oklahoma City has an effective field goal percentage of 62.8%, which is higher than their season-long EFG of 56% (3rd). When looking at their five most recent games, the Thunder are 24th in three-point shooting at 39.9%.
The Thunder’s defense is presently ranked 14th in the league, allowing an average of 113.6 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 50.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.8% of their three-point attempts.
When looking at the Nuggets’ over/under record this season, they are 12-20-1, and their games have averaged 225.9 points per contest. So far, only five of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 232.
In their last game, the Nuggets took down the Grizzlies by a score of 142-105 and easily covered the spread as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under line in the game was 221.5 points.
For the season, Denver’s ATS record is 15-17 and they have been favored in 30 of their 33 games. As the favorite, the Nuggets have gone 22-8 straight up and 14-15 vs. the spread.
When playing at home, Denver is 13-2 this season and have an average scoring margin of +12.1 PPG. Their average scoring output at home is 115.2 PPG compared to 103.1 PPG on the road.
Over their last six games, the Nuggets have picked up six straight wins and have also covered the spread in three straight games. In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are currently in 2nd place.
At home, Denver is scoring 122.3 points per game, which is 7th best in the NBA. Overall, they are 13th in the league with 115.9 points per game. From beyond the arc, the Nuggets are shooting 38% on 31.6 attempts per game. Overall, they are shooting 49% from the field.
So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 3rd in the league at 110.0 points per contest. Denver’s defense is currently forcing 11.4 turnovers per game, which is 2nd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 14th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.4 rejections per game.
In spite of being 3.5 point underdogs, we anticipate the Thunder winning this one 114-108.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Tips
- We like the Thunder on the moneyline (+131)
- The Thunder are also our pick on the spread at +3.5
- Our NBA model projects 222 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Face/Hand – Out
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- Jaylin Williams – Hip – Questionable
