Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
Looking to win big? The Mavericks and Nuggets face off at 9:00 ET on NBA. The Nuggets are hosting the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.
The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 238.5 points, and the Nuggets are favored to win at home against the Mavericks. Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Dallas Mavericks odds
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Nuggets are averaging 119 points per game, compared to the Mavericks at 113. These figures have led to Denver posting a record of 2-1.
- Through their last ten road contests, the Mavericks offense has averaged 118 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Dallas posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 7-3 ATS.
- Across their last three home contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 115 points per game.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-4-1.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
In total, the Mavericks are 16-9 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. Against Western Conference teams, the Mavericks are 11-7 while going 5-2 in non-conference games.
Dallas has an overall ATS record of 14-11 for the season so far. Currently, the Mavericks have a four game ATS win streak when they are favored, and they are 2-5 against the spread as underdogs.
With more than half of the Mavericks’ games exceeding the over/under lines, their over/under record stands at 18-7-0. Their games have currently averaged 245.0 points per game and the average over/under line so far is 233.5.
Dallas’ offense had a good outing, putting up 131 points against the Trail Blazers. They achieved a 49.5% field goal percentage and went 19/21 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Mavericks hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 15th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 14th in terms of percentage and 1st in three-pointers made.
The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 22nd in the league, allowing an average of 117.1 points per contest.
In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.3% while allowing 36.4% from downtown.
Coming into today’s game vs. the Mavericks, the Nuggets are 17-10 overall and are 2-1 in their last three games. At home, the Nuggets are 10-2 compared to their 7-8 road record.
Denver has an overall ATS record of 11-15 as they come into today’s game. The Nuggets maintain an ATS record of 5-10 on the road, while they have a 6-5 record vs. the spread when playing at home.
The Nuggets come in with an over/under record of 10-16-1 for the current season. Their games feature an average over/under line of 224.7, and they hold a 0.8 differential compared to the over/under line this season.
The Nuggets’ offense wrapped up their last game with 117 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 114.7 points per contest. The top scorer for the Nuggets was Nikola Jokic with 24 points, while Michael Porter Jr. also added 20 to the scoreboard.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 33.3% of their games. Currently, they are 6th in the NBA at 110.8 points per game allowed.
So far this season, the Nuggets’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 22nd in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 23.5 times per game vs. Denver.
Despite being 7.5 point underdogs, we predict the Mavericks to come out on top with a final score of 115-108.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+241)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +7.5
- Our NBA model projects 223 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Heel – Probable
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Concussion – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Ankle – Probable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Kyrie Irving – Foot – Out
- Richaun Holmes – Illness – Questionable
- Maxi Kleber – Toe – Out
- Josh Green – Elbow – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Ankle – Out
