Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview
The Timberwolves and Heat are set to face off at 7:30 ET on BSSU. The Heat will host the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL.
In this non-conference matchup, the Timberwolves are the betting favorite against the Heat. The over/under for the game is 219 points. Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Minnesota Timberwolves odds
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Timberwolves and Heat did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Timberwolves have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Heat went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 208 points per game.
- The Timberwolves are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
- Across their last five home contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 110 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
- Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
In non-conference play, the Timberwolves are 6-2 and are 13-3 against Western Conference opponents. Overall, the Timberwolves are 19-5 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games.
Minnesota has an overall ATS record of 13-10 for the season so far. During this season, Minnesota has a 10-8 record against the spread as favorites and 3-2 as underdogs.
The Timberwolves have achieved an over/under record of 12-12-0 so far this season. They have an average over/under line of 222.6 in their games, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is -3.2.
Minnesota’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 127 points vs. the Pacers. Overall, they hit 55.8% of their shots from the field and went 13/16 from the free-throw line. Minnesota’s offense is currently one of the slower paced teams in the NBA, at 98.1 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 23rd in attempts and 6th in three-point shooting percentage.
Coming into the game, the Timberwolves defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 25.0% of their games. Currently, they are 1st in the NBA at 105.8 points per game allowed.
For the season, Minnesota is ranked 19th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 20.8 free-throws per game vs. the Timberwolves and have an overall field goal percentage of 43.6%.
Coming into today’s matchup vs. the Timberwolves, the Heat are above .500 at 15-11 and are looking to build on their success. In the Eastern Conference, they are 5th and are 2nd in the Southeast division.
This season, Miami holds an ATS record of 11-14, which also includes their two game losing streak against the spread. This season, Miami has a 6-9 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 5-5 when playing as underdogs.
In their last two games, the Heat and their opponents have surpassed the over/under line, and the overall record is 13-13-0. The average over/under line in their games stands at 220.7, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is 4.3.
Coming off their recent game, the Heat offense tallied 118 points in a matchup against the Bulls. Their field goal percentage for the game was 51.8%, and they made 13 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Jimmy Butler, who holds an average of 21.8 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Bam Adebayo is averaging 22.2 points per game this season.
Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 30.8% of their games. Currently, they are 10th in the NBA at 112.0 points per game allowed.
When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Heat squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 38.3% from downtown.
Even though they are 1 point underdogs, we see the Heat winning this game by a score of 115-110.
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Tips
- We like the Heat on the moneyline (-106)
- The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +1
- Projecting a combined 225 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kyle Lowry – Soreness – Out
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Anthony Edwards – Hip – Questionable
- Jaden McDaniels – Back – Questionable
- Josh Minott – Illness – Questionable
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
