Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview
Looking to win big? The Thunder and Nuggets face off at 9:00 ET on ALT. The Nuggets are hosting the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.
This Northwest division matchup has an over/under of 236.5 points, and the Nuggets are favored to win at home vs. the Thunder. Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Oklahoma City Thunder odds
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last five head to head matchups, the Nuggets have had the upper-hand, going 4-1. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Thunder and Nuggets, the teams have averaged 226 points per game with an over/under record of 1-2. The last three times they have faced off with the Nuggets as the home team, the OU record is 2-1.
- In their last three games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
- Across their last three home contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 115 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Thunder have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
- The Nuggets have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Coming into their matchup with the Nuggets, the Thunder have an overall record of 15-8 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In the Western Conference, they are in 3rd place and are also 3rd in the Northwest division.
Oklahoma City currently has an ATS record of 16-7, placing them above .500 against the spread. This season, Oklahoma City has a 9-4 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 7-3 as underdogs.
In their last three games, the Thunder and their opponents have surpassed the over/under line, and the overall record is 13-10-0. Across the games they’ve played, the combined scoring average is 228.0 points per game, with an average over/under line of 230.8.
Oklahoma City’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 123 points vs. the Kings. Overall, they hit 43.1% of their shots from the field and went 24/27 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 31, while Chet Holmgren also maintains a PPG average of 16.9 leading up to the game.
At present, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 14th, allowing 113.5 points per game.
In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 12.1 turnovers per game, ranking 4th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 5th in rejections, averaging 6.2 blocked shots each game.
With their overall record of 17-9, the Nuggets are looking to extend their three game winning streak. In non-conference matchups, the Nuggets have gone 5-2 while going 12-7 against Western Conference teams.
Denver comes in with an overall ATS record of 11-14 so far this season. In their last two games as underdogs, the Nuggets have faced ATS losses, and they have a 10-12 record against the spread as favorites.
So far, the majority of games for the Nuggets have not surpassed the over/under lines, placing their over/under record at 10-15-1. In their games, the average over/under line is 224.2, and they maintain a 0.9 differential vs. the over/under line this season.
The Nuggets offense is coming off a game where they scored 124 points against the Nets. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.5% and connected on 12 threes. Nikola Jokic is leading the team in scoring at 27.2 points per contest. Michael Porter Jr. has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.7 going into the game.
At this time, the Nuggets’ defense is positioned 7th in the NBA, permitting 110.5 points per game.
Opponents are hitting 52.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.9% of their three-point attempts.
Despite being 5 point underdogs, we predict the Thunder to come out on top with a final score of 113-107.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Tips
- We like the Thunder on the moneyline (+167)
- The Thunder are also our pick on the spread at +5
- Our NBA model projects 220 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Heel – Probable
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Concussion – Out
- Jamal Murray – Ankles – Probable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
